GM. This is Everyday Juice, the sports betting newsletter that ate Penguins for dinner and is now staring at a World Series buffet with a small plate.

๐ The Squeeze Play: A desperate home team with a cheaper price than it opened at. We like a discount.
๐ฅค The Fresh Pour: Brewers vs. Rays in the World Series. Two franchises, zero titles, one of them fixes that.
๐ค Off the Menu: Last issue's leans went 3-for-3. Juice wants a raise and a parking spot.
โก Quick Sips: A 6'9" goalie, a guy who promised to eat dog poop, and a Bears doink called in advance.
๐ The Sour Squeeze: Thursday night had a 58-yarder, a late field goal and a lot of people yelling at their phones.
๐ค Brain Juice: DraftKings has the Brewers โ198 and the Rays +162 for Game 1. Turn both into implied odds and add them up. Why is it more than 100%? Juice did the math with a crayon. Answer in The Last Drop.
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The Refill, presented by Pikkit.
๐ Refill: โ ยท Penguins ML (โ114), BetRivers, 1 orange ยท +0.88u
Pittsburgh shut out a Florida team on its second night in a row 4โ0, so "fade the legs" went from theory to a very rude scoreboard.
Record: 17โ6 ยท +9.32u
Since launch, following every tracked Squeeze Play at $100 per unit would have produced about $932 in profit.
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๐ Squeeze Play: Avalanche ML
Desperate at home, and cheaper than the open.
Game: Lightning at Avalanche
Sport/Type: NHL / Moneyline
Book: DraftKings
Odds: โ125
Play: Avalanche ML ยท 1 ๐
Why: Colorado comes home on a two-game skid after one-goal losses to Philadelphia (3โ2) and New Jersey (4โ3). Tampa arrives off wins over Vancouver (4โ2) and Vegas (6โ2), and that recent form is what's propping up the Lightning price. Colorado opened โ135 and has drifted to โ125, so the market has leaned Tampa, and we're getting a desperate home team cheaper than the open.
๐ง Pulp: The money is going to Tampa, not us, and the Lightning have won two straight for a reason.
Walk-away: Pass if it's worse than โ128.
DraftKings is a sportsbook; available where legal. 1 ๐ = 1% of your bankroll.
๐ง Know someone who'd bet this one? Send them the Juice โ


Somebody finally gets a ring. Brewers or Rays?
What happened: The World Series opens Friday in Milwaukee. The Brewers (103โ59, the best record in baseball) swept the Dodgers to get here. The Rays (98โ64) took out Cleveland in six. Milwaukee hasn't been to the Series since 1982, when it lost to the Cardinals in seven. Tampa Bay lost in 2008 and 2020. Neither franchise has ever won it (MLB.com, ESPN).
The arms: Jacob Misiorowski (MLB-best 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP, 252 strikeouts) for Milwaukee vs. Nick Martinez (15โ6, 3.10) for Tampa Bay.
The price: Brewers โ198 and Rays +162 at DraftKings, โ196/+164 at FanDuel. Milwaukee opened around โ155 on Monday, so the books have spent the week stacking chips on the Brewers' side.
Why it matters: At โ198 you're paying for a 66.4% favorite (our math: 198 รท 298). That's a steep entry fee for one baseball game, where a bloop and a bad hop can turn an ace into a guy who "battled."
Also on the plate: The Sixers came back from 29 down in their home opener, the largest comeback in franchise play-by-play history (@NBA). App State knocked off James Madison in overtime and the field got rushed (@barstoolsports).
The takeaway: The Brewers are the better team on paper, and the price knows it. Game 1 isn't a Squeeze for us at โ198. We'd rather watch than pay for that much chalk.


Last issue's leans, graded (ESPN):
โ Kings ML (+100, DraftKings): Kings 3, Islanders 2 in OT. Clarke ended it, and Panarin's two goals mean somebody on Long Island is still mad.
โ Blues ML (+106, FanDuel): Blues 6, Golden Knights 2. Barron put up four points and Vegas left early for the buffet.
โ Thunder โ7.5 (โ115, DraftKings): Thunder 96, Nuggets 84. Covered by 4.5. Holmgren grabbed 17 boards and blocked four shots, and Denver's offense never found the light switch.
Three for three. Juice is now demanding a corner office and a nameplate. Vig says leans still don't get promoted, no matter how hot the streak. Leans don't count toward the Squeeze record and carry no units.
Tonight's leans: The almost-Squeeze Plays. We liked them, just not enough.
One run of cushion, priced like it.
Game: Rays at Brewers (World Series Game 1)
Sport/Type: MLB / Total (alt)
Book: Hard Rock
Odds: โ160
Lean: Over 5.5
Why: Every book in the Action Network feed has the main game total at 6.5, with DraftKings pricing Over 6.5 at โ112 and FanDuel at โ105. The opener was also 6.5 with the Over at โ105, so the market has held its number. Over 5.5 sits a full run below that consensus total, which is why the alt price is steeper.
๐ง Pulp: โ160 means this needs to cash about 62% of the time, and Misiorowski led MLB in ERA.
Odds as of 1:03 AM ET. Not official plays. Leans are not part of the Squeeze record.


6'9" (Nice). Cooper Black made his NHL debut as the tallest goalie in league history. Shooters are now aiming for the 4 inches he can't reach. (via @spittinchiclets)
Promises were made. A JMU fan said he'd eat dog poop if they lost. They lost in OT, and he deleted his account. The house always wins, the dog always wins. (via @br_betting)
Big Cat, sports prophet. "I don't feel good about this field goal." Then it doinked. Somebody give this man a crystal ball and a Bears helmet. (via @barstoolsports)


Under 50.5, Patriots at Bears. Late in the fourth it was 27โ21, 48 points, and Under bettors were picking out the steak for their victory dinner.
Then Cairo Santos hit a 58-yard field goal, a new career long, with 1:34 left. 51 points. Over by half a point. New England added a 47-yarder with 37 seconds left just to rub it in: Bears 30, Patriots 24, 54 total.
The Over crowd called it "never a doubt." It was nothing but doubt. Under bettors, Juice is sending a fruit basket. It's mostly lemons.



Juice booked a spa day for the weekend. The spa is three games and a hot tub of regret.


๐ค Brain Juice answer: 66.4% + 38.2% = 104.6% (our math: 198 รท 298 for the Brewers, 100 รท 262 for the Rays).
That extra 4.6% is the hold, the book's cut, baked right into the prices. Vig is named after it, and he wants royalties.
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